Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,468$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(140 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(17.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,089.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 57.5)}}\) (asimptote \(3,089.8\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $14$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(0.336 \times 10^{0.033t}\) (doubling rate \(9.0\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,375$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,503$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(639 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,398.7}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 56.4)}}\) (asimptote \(11,398.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $609$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(121 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{540.0}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 26.9)}}\) (asimptote \(540.0\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,147$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,297$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(51.4 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58,861.6}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 124.5)}}\) (asimptote \(58,861.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $67$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(8.01 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{167.7}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 75.2)}}\) (asimptote \(167.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,893$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,043$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(16.9 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,319.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 71.8)}}\) (asimptote \(2,319.9\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(0.938 \times 10^{0.033t}\) (doubling rate \(9.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{22.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 32.6)}}\) (asimptote \(22.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $866$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $23,615$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(422 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $481$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(19.1 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.5\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11,217$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $334$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(154 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(48.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.6}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(5.08 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(53.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.082 (t - 11.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,967$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(501 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{45,676.7}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 80.7)}}\) (asimptote \(45,676.7\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $783$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(76.1 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{901.9}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 44.6)}}\) (asimptote \(901.9\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12,284$ on 2020-05-25
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,135$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(12.6 \times 10^{0.034t}\) (doubling rate \(9.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,454.5}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 63.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,454.5\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $14$ on 2020-05-25
Best fit exponential: \(0.475 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{15.3}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 51.0)}}\) (asimptote \(15.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,559$ on 2020-05-25